The Most Overrated and Underrated Wide Receivers/Tight Ends in Fantasy Football
Updated: Jun 26, 2020
by Puffs and Angel Maldonado Tejada (3CoSports)
This is part 2 of our Overrated/Underrated collaboration with 3CoSports. The check out the QBs and RBs in Part 1, go here: https://3cosports.com/2020/06/16/the-most-overrated-and-underrated-quarterbacks-running-backs-in-fantasy-football/
This article was made in collaboration with 3CoSports, a site dedicated to Fantasy Football news and winning advice.
Position: Wide Receiver
Overrated: Tyreek Hill
Like many fantasy owners, I was all over Tyreek Hill prior to last season. An unfortunate week 1 shoulder injury kept him out until week 6. It seemed like we might see the Hill of 2018 return following that injury, but despite a couple explosive weeks, Tyreek didn’t show the consistency you would expect from an elite receiver. Hill led the Chiefs in targets in only 3 of the 11 games he played after returning from injury. Kelce and a mixture of RBs receive the most attention from Patrick Mahomes in the Chiefs offense, with Hill being used predominantly for deep ball opportunities. Tyreek Hill is a great guy to have for the boom-bust potential, but do you want to use a first-round pick on him? I will be looking elsewhere.
Overrated: Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs was traded to the Buffalo Bills this offseason, joining a roster with playoff potential. However, I think he’ll be a major fantasy bust this season for a few reasons. The Bills aren’t a team that LOOKS to air the ball. They’re a defense-minded squad that likes to run the ball and keep their opponents guessing. Josh Allen himself is a rushing threat and is as likely to throw a 50 yard bomb as he is to run it himself. It’s not like Stefon Diggs is the only viable WR on the team either. John Brown is coming off a 1,000 yard season and Cole Beasley proved to be a valuable contributor. Despite Josh Allen’s MVP potential, we don’t see Diggs getting enough volume in a new offense (see: Odell), especially during a Covid-19 shortened offseason. He’ll be drafted high thanks to his name, but he’ll likely disappoint in 2020.
Underrated: AJ Brown
Despite being the 4th WR taken in the 2019 draft, AJ Brown was the only rookie to crack 1,000 receiving yards last year. More impressively, many of these yards came during the back half of the season after Tannehill got the starting nod. In the last 6 games of last season, AJ Brown recorded over 600 yards and went for 5 touchdowns. During this period, he led all Fantasy WRs in standard scoring points with over 100, outpacing second place DeVante Parker by more than 10. Yet for some reason he is being drafted as the 15th receiver this season, suggesting Fantasy owners are discounting his end of year run. I say he continues that late season surge into next year due to the strong rapport with Tannehill.
Underrated: Kenny Golladay
While he’s been gathering a larger following lately, Kenny Golladay still isn’t given enough respect as one of the NFL’s best wide receivers. There’s an argument to be made that he’s a Top 5 Wide Receiver in the NFL, but soon he’ll be one in Fantasy as well. Kenny Golladay made the famous 3rd year leap in 2019, catching 65 passes for 1,190 yards and 11(!!!) touchdowns. Keep in mind, Matthew Stafford was unavailable for half the year. Golladay’s 18.5 YPC stands out, but his contested catch rate (54.2%), fantasy points per target (2.14) and Dominator Rating (33.9%) all scream ELITE. Players like Davante Adams and Michael Thomas are going a full round before Golladay, making him a steal and a must have in 2020 and beyond.
Position: Tight End
Overrated: Austin Hooper
Hooper is getting some strong buzz this year after finishing as the 6th TE in 2019 and recently signing a $11MM/yr contract with the Browns making him the highest paid TE in football. His ADP as the 8th picked TE seems reasonable at first glance considering last season, but Hooper recently joined a crowded Browns offense consisting of OBJ, Landry, Chubb, Hunt, Njoku, and rookie 4th round TE Harrison Bryant. I do not see Hooper getting the targets needed to be a top 10 TE in 2020 in this Brown’s offense considering Njoku received only 5.5 TGTs/game in 2018 (his last healthy season) during Mayfield’s rookie season when you would expect a QB to lean on the TE.
Overrated: Hunter Henry
Henry has all the talent in the world, but he just can’t seem to put it all together. He’s never had more than 700 yards in a season and just hasn’t looked like the dynamic player we saw in his rookie season. Henry is constantly drafted as a Top 6 TE, but he hasn’t looked like one since 2016. If I can’t get an elite player at the TE position, I’d rather wait for a high upside play like Higbee than spend draft capital on Hunter Henry. Surprisingly, the loss of Phillip Rivers may result in more targets for Henry, but I’d be surprised if he lasted the whole season and as such I’m steering clear in 2020.
Underrated: Tyler Higbee
Higbee went from a Fantasy 0 to a league winner at the end of last season when he recorded 100 yards in 4 of the last 5 games of the season, outpacing all other TEs. This production came mostly from opportunity, given fellow Rams TE Gerald Everett injured his knee in Week 12 paving the way for more targets for Higbee. As it stands, Everett is now 2nd on the depth chart behind Higbee suggesting Goff and the Rams are convinced Higbee is the guy going into next season. I am not at all afraid of Higbee splitting targets with Everett in 2020, he proved himself to be the number 1 TE in that offense and should expect to see 10+ targets per game this season.
Underrated: Blake Jarwin
One of the players I’d rather have over Henry is Blake Jarwin. We went into a little more depth on our Dynasty Tight Ends piece at 3CoSports, but the basic premise is this: Jarwin is an absolute bargain at his current price. The Dallas Cowboys have moved on from Jason Witten, leaving Blake Jarwin as the team’s starter at the tight end position. At 6’5, 250 lbs Jarwin is your typical in-line tight end in many ways, operating as a useful blocker while also being able to move the chains and stretch the field in the passing game (8.9 yards per target in 2019). With three receiving touchdowns in each of the last two seasons and a career high 31 catches in 2019, Jarwin did enough to compel the Cowboys to sign him to a three-year, 24.25 million dollar extension this offseason. Even though the team added CeeDee Lamb, it lost many targets thanks to the departures of Randall Cobb, Tavon Austin, and the aforementioned Jason Witten. I’m all in on Jarwin in 2020.